Independiente
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Romero (21')
Gonzalez (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Soldano (83'), Cardona (90+1')
Cardona (67'), Villa (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between Independiente and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 35.83%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
35.04%	29.13%	35.83%

Both teams to score 44.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72%

62.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06%

81.94%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45%

33.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.2%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37%

69.62%

Score Analysis

Independiente 35.04%

Boca Juniors 35.82%

Draw 29.12%

Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.82%