Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
