Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
