Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
