Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Colon had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
