Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
