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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 2, 2021 at 6.20pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Godoy Cruz

Romero (26' pen.)
Salazar (41'), Torrico (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

dos Santos (64'), Ferrari (76')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Godoy Cruz.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawGodoy Cruz
50.63%24.85%24.52%
Both teams to score 51.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53%50.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6%72.39%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06%19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91%52.08%
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74%35.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98%72.01%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 50.63%
    Godoy Cruz 24.52%
    Draw 24.84%
San LorenzoDrawGodoy Cruz
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.52%

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