Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
