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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 26, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
P

Defensa
1 - 0
Patronato

Romero (75')
Paredes (16'), Breitenbruch (39'), Frias (48'), Benitez (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gissi (82')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPatronato
55.35%22.99%21.66%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1%45.9%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09%71.91%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 55.35%
    Patronato 21.66%
    Draw 22.98%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.66%

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