Patronato
0 - 1
Independiente

Leys (32'), Lemos (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manuel Insaurralde (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 29.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Independiente
29.08%	29.67%	41.25%

Both teams to score 41.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.03%

64.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.13%

83.87%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.58%

39.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88%

76.11%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92%

31.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61%

67.39%

Score Analysis

Patronato 29.07%

Independiente 41.25%

Draw 29.66%

Patronato	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.46% Total : 29.07%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.24% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 14.31% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-3 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.25%