Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.