Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
