Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
