Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.