Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Platense had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
