Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.