Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Platense had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.