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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 26, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
E

Rosario
0 - 1
Estudiantes

Cauteruccio (54')
Sangiovani (28'), Villagra (45'), Torrent (90+3')
Villagra (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Rosario Central and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawEstudiantes
33.64%25.62%40.74%
Both teams to score 55.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12%48.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02%70.98%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26%27.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7%63.3%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24%23.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09%57.91%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 33.64%
    Estudiantes 40.74%
    Draw 25.61%
Rosario CentralDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.74%

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