Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estudiantes in this match.
