Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
