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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
 
AT

Sarmiento
1 - 2
Tucuman

Herrera (13')
Torres (50'), Nahuel Vadala (72'), Herrera (87'), Garcia (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toledo (63', 88')
Risso (28'), Vergini (53'), Toledo (70')
Acosta (29')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
38.18%27.8%34.02%
Both teams to score 48.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39%57.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62%78.38%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18%31.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74%68.26%
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 38.18%
    Atletico Tucuman 34.01%
    Draw 27.79%
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.01%

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