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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 27, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
S

Santa Fe
0 - 0
Sarmiento


Machuca (27'), Carlos Portillo (35'), Blasi (52')
FT

Montero (17'), Bravo (67'), Gho (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Santa Fe and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawSarmiento
45.98%26.8%27.22%
Both teams to score 48.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87%56.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.8%77.2%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95%36.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.83%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 45.98%
    Sarmiento 27.22%
    Draw 26.79%
Santa FeDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.22%

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