Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.