Independiente
0 - 1
Lanus

Asis (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Burdisso (68')
Burdisso (71'), Bernabei (80'), Esquivel (90+3')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Lanus
45.61%	27.16%	27.23%

Both teams to score 47.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57%

57.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76%

78.24%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88%

25.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17%

59.83%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26%

36.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47%

73.53%

Score Analysis

Independiente 45.61%

Lanus 27.23%

Draw 27.15%

Independiente	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.23%