Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 41.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.