Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
