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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 5, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
SL

Independiente
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Romero (47')
Sonora (41'), Sosa (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ortigoza (72' pen.)
Zapata (31'), Flores (37'), Peruzzi (65'), Gordillo (87')
Flores (76')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
58.02%24.18%17.8%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74%55.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.48%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.38%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05%44.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1%80.9%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 58.01%
    San Lorenzo 17.8%
    Draw 24.18%
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.52%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 1.21%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.8%

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