Velez Sarsfield
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Janson (2', 29')
Poblete (34'), Martin Lucero (38'), de los Santos (60'), Hoyos (68'), Mancuello (87'), Caseres (90+2'), Orellano (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ortega (17' og.)
Zapata (39'), Di Santo (68'), Flores (69'), Gordillo (72'), Ortigoza (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	San Lorenzo
59.39%	23.52%	17.09%

Both teams to score 45.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18%

53.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71%

75.29%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15%

17.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39%

48.61%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01%

44.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08%

80.92%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 59.38%

San Lorenzo 17.09%

Draw 23.52%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.38%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.51% Total : 17.09%