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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
S

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Fernandez (34')
Rojas (12'), Fernandez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bravo (45+3'), Castet (54')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
44.86%27.71%27.43%
Both teams to score 45.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73%59.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.68%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53%61.47%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41%37.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63%74.36%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 44.85%
    Sarmiento 27.43%
    Draw 27.7%
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.43%

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