Independiente
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Benavidez (20')
Benavidez (45+1'), Roa (52'), Manuel Insaurralde (58'), Velasco (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Medina (24'), Almendra (45+1'), Sandez (73'), (82'), Varela (90+2')
Izquierdoz (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
36.39%	28.51%	35.1%

Both teams to score 46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.88%

60.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.67%

80.33%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43%

31.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04%

67.96%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61%

32.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09%

68.9%

Score Analysis

Independiente 36.38%

Boca Juniors 35.1%

Draw 28.51%

Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.38%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.51%	0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.1%