Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
