Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
