Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
