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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
S

Lanus
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Sand (59')
Belmonte (61'), Burdisso (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alanis (90+5' pen.)
Arismendi (45+1'), Bravo (75')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Lanus and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawSarmiento
55.99%24.15%19.87%
Both teams to score 48.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5%52.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84%74.16%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38%18.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09%49.91%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 55.98%
    Sarmiento 19.87%
    Draw 24.14%
LanusDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 12.81%
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 5.39%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.98%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 19.87%

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