Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.