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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 0
Lanus

Sepulveda (49')
Sepulveda (8'), Navas (77'), Goni (83'), Mazzola (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguirre (31'), Bernabei (80'), Perez (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawLanus
31.14%28.66%40.2%
Both teams to score 45.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.82%61.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.87%81.13%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28%35.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51%72.48%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21%29.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14%65.86%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.14%
    Lanus 40.19%
    Draw 28.65%
Arsenal SarandiDrawLanus
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 31.14%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.19%

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