Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.