Lanus
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Sand (24')
Thaller (18'), Burdisso (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tevez (19'), Abila (56')
Zambrano (45+3'), Capaldo (71'), Campuzano (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Lanus and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Boca Juniors
27.7%	27.18%	45.12%

Both teams to score 47.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73%

57.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89%

78.11%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73%

36.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94%

73.05%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.06%

Score Analysis

Lanus 27.7%

Boca Juniors 45.12%

Draw 27.18%

Lanus	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.7%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 12.61% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.67% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.12%