Lanus
3 - 2
Sao Paulo

Sand (53', 84'), Quignon (90+1')
Perez (45+1'), B (45+3'), De la Vega (48'), Quignon (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brenner (13', 87')
Reinaldo (42'), Gomes (45+2'), (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Lanus and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Sao Paulo
40.74%	28.05%	31.21%

Both teams to score 46.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.93%

59.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.48%

79.52%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79%

64.21%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46%

34.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74%

71.26%

Score Analysis

Lanus 40.74%

Sao Paulo 31.2%

Draw 28.05%

Lanus	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.05%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.2%