Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.15%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.