Sao Paulo
4 - 3
Lanus

Alves (27'), Pablo (62'), Thaller (87' og.), Gomes (89')
Gomes (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

De la Vega (17'), B (44'), Orsini (90+3')
Perez (6'), Burdisso (74'), Belmonte (79'), Morales (80'), Acosta (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Lanus
51.25%	25.42%	23.33%

Both teams to score 48.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23%

53.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75%

75.25%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22%

53.78%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83%

38.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07%

74.93%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 51.24%

Lanus 23.33%

Draw 25.41%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.33%