Patronato
3 - 2
Lanus

Arias (37'), Canteros (76'), Sosa (78')
Pardo (63'), Garcia (68'), (79'), Canteros (83'), Palavecino (84'), Sosa (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sand (15'), Malcorra (31')
Bernabei (76'), Aguirre (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Lanus
36.31%	27.99%	35.7%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.79%

58.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15%

78.85%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11%

66.89%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97%

31.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66%

67.34%

Score Analysis

Patronato 36.3%

Lanus 35.69%

Draw 27.99%

Patronato	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.69%