Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.