Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 10.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.