Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.