SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | River Plate |
| 11.73% | 18.38% | 69.9% |
| Both teams to score 47.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% | 43.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% | 65.73% |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% | 46.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.95% | 82.06% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.79% | 11.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.26% | 35.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 3.99% 2-1 @ 3.35% 2-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 11.73% | 1-1 @ 8.74% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.38% | 0-2 @ 12.46% 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 6.98% 0-4 @ 4.97% 1-4 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-5 @ 2.18% 1-5 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.89% |
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