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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 0
Rosario

Borre (37'), Montiel (56' pen.), De La Cruz (64')
Montiel (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Avila (10'), Sangiovani (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between River Plate and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawRosario Central
65.91%20.54%13.55%
Both teams to score 46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63%48.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49%70.51%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16%13.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79%41.21%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38%46.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8%82.2%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 65.89%
    Rosario Central 13.55%
    Draw 20.54%
River PlateDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.35%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.89%
1-1 @ 9.74%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.92%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 0.95%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.55%

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