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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
F

River Plate
1 - 3
Fluminense

Girotti (85')
De La Cruz (32'), Martinez (49'), Suarez (65')
Maidana (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paulista (22'), Nene (29'), Yago (90+2')
Martinelli (27'), Xavier (61'), Paulista (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawFluminense
40.11%23.78%36.11%
Both teams to score 62.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1%39.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74%62.26%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84%20.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55%52.45%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.48%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 40.11%
    Fluminense 36.11%
    Draw 23.78%
River PlateDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.11%

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