Boca Juniors
1 - 1
River Plate

Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties

Tevez (11')
Fabra (38'), Buffarini (43'), Villa (72'), Cardona (88')

FT
(aet)

Alvarez (68')
Perez (13'), Maidana (58'), Martinez (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase - Quarter-Finals clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	River Plate
27.8%	26.28%	45.92%

Both teams to score 50.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14%

53.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68%

75.32%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93%

71.07%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.39%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 27.8%

River Plate 45.91%

Draw 26.27%

Boca Juniors	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.8%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.91%