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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
0 - 2
River Plate


Torren (6'), Mac Allister (57'), Avalos (72'), Villalba (74'), Sandoval (79'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (35', 54')
Montiel (4'), Perez (24'), Zuculini (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
27.62%27.79%44.58%
Both teams to score 45.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.52%59.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16%79.84%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.32%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21%61.79%
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 27.62%
    River Plate 44.58%
    Draw 27.79%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 13.22%
0-2 @ 8.76%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-3 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.58%

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