Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
