Independiente
1 - 0
Defensa

Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
45.38%	26.48%	28.15%

Both teams to score 49.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56%

54.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19%

75.8%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08%

23.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87%

58.13%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6%

34.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89%

71.11%

Score Analysis

Independiente 45.37%

Defensa y Justicia 28.15%

Draw 26.48%

Independiente	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.37%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.15%