San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Rosario

Di Santo (37'), Romero (90+13')
Melano (64'), Rosane (70'), Sabella (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanlongo (35'), Avila (43'), Blanco (75'), Vecchio (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+10')
Vecchio (90+10'), Blanco (90+12')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Rosario Central
43.8%	28.19%	28.01%

Both teams to score 45.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.36%

60.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.28%

80.71%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47%

27.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96%

63.03%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13%

37.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36%

74.63%

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 43.8%

Rosario Central 28.01%

Draw 28.18%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 8.42% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.01%