Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
