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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 24, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
2 - 1
Racing

Infantino (56'), Ruben (80')
Lo Celso (46'), Avila (90+2'), Ojeda (90+5')
Gonzalez (87'), Avila (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Copetti (66')
Rojas (32'), Piatti (87'), Alcaraz (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawRacing Club
43.76%27.05%29.19%
Both teams to score 48.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9%56.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83%77.17%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53%34.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.75%
    Racing Club 29.19%
    Draw 27.04%
Rosario CentralDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.19%

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