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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 20, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
SL

Rosario
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Martinez (86')
Ojeda (45'), Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gordillo (16'), Peruzzi (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
43.77%26.84%29.4%
Both teams to score 49.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.78%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26%59.74%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.76%
    San Lorenzo 29.4%
    Draw 26.83%
Rosario CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.76%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.4%

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