Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.