Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Central Cordoba win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
